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Oct 06, 2018  

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Analysts Bets Diverge on Casino Stocks

Chinas difficult economic situation clouds their short-term prospects, while in the longer term, casinos will have to bid to renew their concessions, which could lead to a variety of outcomes. As such, he argues that though the shares have been battered in recent months, they accurately reflect the risks facing the gambling companies. Other analysts arent as pessimistic. JPMorgan sJoseph Greff reiterated an Overweight rating on Wynn after meetings with management. He writes that there is a disconnect between its current operating fundamentals and current investor sentiment (i.e., extremely negative on Macau and gaming, in general). In addition, Instinets Harry Curits argues that Wynn, MGM, and Melco Entertainment (MLCO) are all overbought at current levels. The shares have returned to 2015 levels, he notes, too low even given the recent disappointments. Curits writes that several operators he spoke with in recent days said that revenue from VIP gamblers has been rising sequentially over the past six weeks. That could mean, he argues, that while growth in activity by high rollers is in a longer-term decline, the pace may be more moderate than bears fear. Las Vegas Sands is up 0.8% to $61.08 and Wynn is climbing 3% to $132.23 this afternoon, while Melco is off 4.1% to $20.27. MGM is down 0.1% to $26.72.

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